What do you think of the tension on Taiwan Strait?

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From Bruce (US)

I would like to give you a longer reaction to your article on what is happening in Asia. Particularly the issue between Taiwan and the Chinese. And it is interesting that you connected this with the movie “Oppenheimer”. I have some family living in Taiwan. It sounds pretty scary. But it is so true it needs to be reflected on.

The Taiwan Straight has been a hotspot of geopolitical tension for decades, with complex relationships between China, Taiwan, and the United States shaping the region’s dynamics. Drawing parallels with the movie “Oppenheimer”, which chronicles the creation of the atomic bomb during World War II, there is a need more than ever to reexamine how the delicate balance of power in the region calls for a cautious approach to avoid any terrible catastrophe.

Its history

To remember my knowledge of history. The tension in the Taiwan Strait stems from the Chinese Civil War of 1949, which caused the establishment of the People’s Republic of China (or PRC) on the mainland and the retreat of the Republic of China (or ROC) government to Taiwan. Since then, both sides have claimed sovereignty over the entire territory, leading to a complex political standoff. China considers Taiwan a part of its territory and has pursued reunification, even by force, if necessary, as you noted so well. In contrast, Taiwan asserts its separate identity and strives for international recognition as an independent nation.

What the US can do

I am proud to claim that my country has been a critical player in the region, supporting Taiwan both diplomatically and militarily. The Taiwan Relations Act (TRA) of 1979 commits the US to supply Taiwan with defensive weapons to ensure its self-defense capabilities. This policy has helped maintain a delicate balance in the region but has also raised tensions with China, which views US involvement as interference in its internal affairs. Which I totally, get. If it happens to the US, surely the same views would be adopted by the Americans.

Is the current tension a danger to a nuclear risk?

Yes, we have witnessed recent years the tensions simmering in the Taiwan Strait, which heightened significantly. China has grown increasingly assertive in its claims over the island, conducting its own military exercises, and issuing warnings to discourage Taiwan from seeking formal independence. The US, meanwhile, has strengthened its ties with Taiwan, further infuriating China. And we witnessed this during visits to Taiwan of some high profile US politicians.

Such escalating tensions bring about a higher risk of a nuclear crisis, although the probability of direct nuclear conflict remains low. Cross my fingers, though. China possesses a nuclear arsenal capable of causing catastrophic damage, and any misjudgment or miscalculation in the region could have dire consequences. The US, as a security guarantor for Taiwan, could be drawn into the conflict if the situation escalates, leading to a potential nuclear Armageddon, as you explicitly posited in you article.

The movie “Oppenheimer”

I watched the movie. The three-hour running time was agonizingly long, but it was all worth it. Retelling the creation of the atom bomb during World War II serves as a stark parallel to what is happening in the Taiwan Strait. The development and eventual use of the atomic bomb demonstrated the destructive power of nuclear weapons and the importance of responsible decision-making to prevent global catastrophe. In the context of the Taiwan Strait, the pursuit of power and influence among major players should be approached with utmost caution to avoid any possible Armageddon.

We must learn from our past

Again, this tension involving China, Taiwan, and the US represents a very complex web of historical, political, and security factors. As depicted in the movie, the creation of the atomic bomb exemplifies the need for responsible decision-making and careful handling, as you hoped in your article. It is essential more than ever for all parties involved to engage in peaceful dialogue, exercise restraint, and pursue diplomatic resolutions to avoid pushing the region to the brink of a nuclear crisis. The world must learn from history’s lessons and work together to ensure stability, peace, and prosperity in the Taiwan Strait and beyond.

What makes this tension so scary is that with the kind of power nuclear bombs the world has today, those detonated on the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki were just like firecrackers. And any nuclear conflict anywhere in the world must be a cause for fear all over this planet.

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Lee from Hong Kong

As a resident of Hongkong, I am sure everyone has been monitoring this sad development. Our city’s history is interwoven with the complex relationships between China and Taiwan. Hongkong’s handover from the British to Chinese sovereignty in 1997 was a pivotal moment that showcased the intricacies of power and diplomacy in the region. As a Special Administrative Region, as we are called here, we cherish our autonomy and freedoms, which serve as a constant reminder of the importance of preserving peace and stability in our neighborhood.

The movie

I still have to watch the movie “Oppenheimer”. Reading about it, I understand it explores the development of the atomic bomb during the second world war, and its devastating impact. This historical account underscores the urgency for cool-headed leaders, when dealing with matters of immense consequence. Just as the atomic bomb’s creation called for a thoughtful approach, the situation in the Taiwan Strait demands careful consideration and dialogue among all peace-loving politicians and diplomats.

The hope for continued peace

This tension is, of course, a cause for deep concern to us in Hongkong. It has always been in our collective consciousness. We still believe that diplomatic channels must remain open, fostering dialogue and understanding among all parties involved. The path to peace is challenging, but it is essential to rise above our differences and work towards a harmonious coexistence.

The importance of hope

In the face of this danger, I believe hope serves as our guiding light. Just as the world rallied for peace during the Cuban Missile Crisis, as mentioned, we must remain optimistic that a peaceful solution can be found. The involvement of the United States brings both challenges and opportunities. While it may escalate the tensions, it also offers a platform for mediating dialogue and seeking peaceful resolutions.

Anti-China sentiment

You are on point with your observation about the anti-Chinese atmosphere in American society. This surely does not help, in my belief. The Chinese people should not be pushed into a corner. They need to feel that a dialogue is possible between equals. We cannot solve our differences from the standpoint of angry rhetoric.

My personal wish

In Hongkong, we understand the significance of having our voices heard. We empathize with the people of Taiwan and recognize their desire to maintain their autonomy and unique identity. However, as you use the word “geo-politics”, some things are just beyond understanding to ordinary citizens like me. But I must remain hopeful and stay positive.

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Sean from Kuwait

Thank you for featuring about Canada as a favorite country for immigrants. I will wait for the completion of your “3-part” series on the topic.

Three years ago, me and my husband landed in Toronto from Kuwait. We originally came from India. Our professions brought us to this middle eastern city. We enjoyed our life here, but we thought of relocating to Canada a serious thought.

We were so excited with the prospect of a new and better life in Canada. Very sadly, our experience was never something to look back on. A few months ago, we found ourselves back in Kuwait.

I hope you will also feature the experiences of those new immigrants who left Canada. As I read in your blog, Canada is experienced differently by those who think of coming to the country. Good luck!     

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